New Zealand vs India prediction: who will win?

Prediction: too close to call, 51% to 49%.

  • The two predicted XIs are almost level on recent ODI form: 319 expected fantasy points against 318 for India.
  • India lead the ODI head to head 31–23. Full New Zealand vs India head to head →
  • Last five matches: New Zealand LLWWW; India WLWWL
  • At Seddon Park, Hamilton, chasing sides have won 18 of 30 ODIs and sides batting first 10.

The win chance compares both predicted XIs on their recent ODI form. Tested on 695 past ODI matches, sides we rated at about 60% or more won about two in three; treat any figure under 55% as a toss-up.

New Zealand vs India players and squads

New Zealand predicted playing 11

PlayerExp. ptsLast 5 games
Mitchell SantnercaptainAR · 25+ ODIs311459463016
Daryl MitchellAR · 25+ ODIs421818439589
Rachin RavindraAR · 25+ ODIs33154583738
Matt HenryBOWL · 25+ ODIs31526163226
Glenn PhillipsAR · 25+ ODIs308528132563
Michael BracewellAR · 25+ ODIs301349283828
Devon ConwayWK · 25+ ODIs2751238965
Mark ChapmanAR · 25+ ODIs258586620
Blair TicknerBOWL · 18 ODIs28764106456
Tom LathamWK · 25+ ODIs215113192219
Will YoungBAT · 25+ ODIs213814151929
Rest of the squad (3)
Kyle JamiesonBOWL · 23 ODIs241418631644
Nathan SmithAR · 21 ODIs22281410137
Jacob DuffyBOWL · 24 ODIs2133111628

India predicted playing 11

PlayerExp. ptsLast 5 games
Shubman GillcaptainBAT · 25+ ODIs393157795123
Virat KohliBAT · 25+ ODIs393231005647
Rohit SharmaBAT · 25+ ODIs3862802610117
Axar PatelAR · 25+ ODIs31321901845
KL RahulWK · 25+ ODIs299622917
Shreyas IyerBAT · 25+ ODIs270442146
Kuldeep YadavBOWL · 25+ ODIs23122258238
Ishan KishanWK · 25+ ODIs24102502712
Prasidh KrishnaBOWL · 25+ ODIs23828301430
Mohammed SirajBOWL · 25+ ODIs19141232416
Arshdeep SinghBOWL · 16 ODIs26941162224
Rest of the squad (5)
Ruturaj GaikwadBAT · 12 ODIs2339239283
Anshul KambojAR · 1 ODI257
Naman DhirBAT · 3 ODIs2344106
Nitish Kumar ReddyAR · 6 ODIs209836177
Gurnoor BrarBOWL · 6 ODIs1817162726

Predicted playing 11s are our estimate from each squad: once a side has played in this series, its last XI, otherwise the captain first, then recent ODI fantasy points and experience. They change when the teams are announced at the toss.

New Zealand vs India probable batting order and bowlers

Who opens, and who bowls in the powerplay, middle and death overs

New Zealand probable batting order

Devon Conway and Rachin Ravindra are likely to open for New Zealand, with Will Young at No. 3.

  1. 1Devon Conwayopens
  2. 2Rachin Ravindraopens
  3. 3Will YoungNos. 2–3
  4. 4Mark ChapmanNos. 3–4
  5. 5Daryl MitchellNo. 4
  6. 6Tom LathamNo. 5
  7. 7Glenn PhillipsNos. 5–6
  8. 8Michael Bracewell
  9. 9Mitchell Santner
  10. 10Blair Tickner
  11. 11Matt Henry

New Zealand: who bowls when

Matt Henry is likely to take the new ball.

Powerplay overs 1–10
Matt Henry (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5); Blair Tickner (pace, most often overs 7 and 9)
Middle overs 11–40
Mitchell Santner (spin, most often overs 16, 20 and 22); Michael Bracewell (spin, most often overs 23, 29 and 31); Blair Tickner (pace, most often overs 18, 34 and 36)
Death overs 41–50
Matt Henry (pace, most often overs 44, 46 and 48); Michael Bracewell (spin, most often overs 41 and 46)

India probable batting order

Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill are likely to open for India, with Virat Kohli at No. 3.

  1. 1Rohit Sharmaopens
  2. 2Shubman Gillopens
  3. 3Virat KohliNo. 3
  4. 4Ishan Kishan
  5. 5Shreyas IyerNos. 4–5
  6. 6KL RahulNos. 5–6
  7. 7Axar PatelNos. 5–7
  8. 8Arshdeep Singh
  9. 9Mohammed Siraj
  10. 10Kuldeep Yadav
  11. 11Prasidh Krishna

India: who bowls when

Arshdeep Singh and Mohammed Siraj are likely to take the new ball.

Powerplay overs 1–10
Mohammed Siraj (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5); Arshdeep Singh (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5)
Middle overs 11–40
Kuldeep Yadav (spin, most often overs 15, 34 and 36); Axar Patel (spin, most often overs 14, 16 and 18); Prasidh Krishna (pace, most often overs 11, 29 and 31)
Death overs 41–50
Prasidh Krishna (pace, most often overs 45, 47 and 50); Arshdeep Singh (pace, most often overs 45, 47 and 48)

From each player's last 10 ODIs, leaning on where they batted and bowled in their last game for this side. Tested on about 1,000 past matches, the batting slot was within one place of the actual order 85% of the time and both openers were right three times in four. Death bowling changes most from match to match.

Seddon Park, Hamilton pitch report

30 ODIs have been played at Seddon Park, Hamilton, with an average first-innings score of 249. Sides batting first have won 10 and chasing sides 18. Captains who won the toss chose to field 19 times out of 30. Full Seddon Park, Hamilton stats and records →

Suggested fantasy XI

Highest expected points from both probable XIs: 11 players, at most 7 from one side, 1–4 wicketkeepers, 3–6 batters, 1–4 all-rounders and 3–6 bowlers

Wicketkeepers · 1

Batters · 3

All-rounders · 4

Bowlers · 3

  • Option 2: Shreyas Iyer in for Mitchell Santner (424 expected points, against 427)
  • Option 3: Devon Conway in for Mitchell Santner (423 expected points, against 427)

Suggestions are statistical estimates from past matches, not guarantees. CricketViz is not affiliated with the ICC, either board or any fantasy sports app.

Captain and vice-captain picks

Who to make captain and vice-captain, and why

CaptainDaryl Mitchell NZExpected 42 points, so about 84 as captain (2×)Top scorer of this XI in 18% of 4,000 simulated matchesTop scorer of the match in 4 of 24 ODIs
Vice-captainVirat Kohli IExpected 39 points, so about 59 as vice-captain (1.5×)In the XI's top two in 32% of 4,000 simulated matchesSecond-top scorer of the match in 2 of 28 ODIs
  • The captain earns double and the vice-captain one and a half times their points, so these two picks swing a fantasy team more than any other. Put your two highest expected scorers there.
  • When expected points are close, prefer the player who tops the scoring more often (the simulated share and the record below), or pick the other one as a differential that fewer teams will have.
  • All-rounders and top-order batters are steadier picks: they can score with the bat, the ball and in the field.
Captaincy options from the suggested XI
PlayerExp. ptsTop scorerTop twoBest CBest VC
Daryl Mitchell NZC40 recent ODIs4218%29%17%4/240%0/24
Virat Kohli IVC40 recent ODIs3917%32%14%4/287%2/28
Shubman Gill I40 recent ODIs3912%23%12%3/2615%4/26
Rohit Sharma I40 recent ODIs3811%22%10%3/2910%3/29
Rachin Ravindra NZ38 recent ODIs3313%22%17%3/180%0/18
Axar Patel I40 recent ODIs314%11%5%1/200%0/20
  • Exp. pts: from the player's recent ODIs (up to 25, shown under the name), newest counting most.
  • Top scorer / top two: how often the player scores the most (or is in the top two) in this XI, over 4,000 simulated matches.
  • Best C / VC: how often the player was the match's top (or second-top) fantasy scorer, across both teams, in their ODIs of the last three years; not how many people picked them. How we calculate this

Questions about this match

Who will win New Zealand vs India?
Our prediction: too close to call, 51% to 49%. India lead the ODI head to head 31–23
Who are the captains of New Zealand and India?
Mitchell Santner (New Zealand) and Shubman Gill (India).
When and where is New Zealand vs India?
Tue 10 Nov 2026, 3:00 pm NZDT (7:30 am IST), at Seddon Park, Hamilton.
What is the New Zealand predicted playing 11?
Mitchell Santner (c), Daryl Mitchell, Rachin Ravindra, Matt Henry, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Devon Conway (wk), Mark Chapman, Blair Tickner, Tom Latham (wk), Will Young.
What is the India predicted playing 11?
Shubman Gill (c), Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma, Axar Patel, KL Rahul (wk), Shreyas Iyer (vc), Kuldeep Yadav, Ishan Kishan (wk), Prasidh Krishna, Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh.
Who will open the batting for New Zealand?
Devon Conway and Rachin Ravindra are likely to open for New Zealand, with Will Young at No. 3.
Who will bowl at the death for New Zealand?
Matt Henry (most often overs 44, 46 and 48) and Michael Bracewell (most often overs 41 and 46) usually bowl at the death for New Zealand.
Who will open the batting for India?
Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill are likely to open for India, with Virat Kohli at No. 3.
Who will bowl at the death for India?
Prasidh Krishna (most often overs 45, 47 and 50) and Arshdeep Singh (most often overs 45, 47 and 48) usually bowl at the death for India.
What is the Seddon Park, Hamilton pitch report?
30 ODIs have been played at Seddon Park, Hamilton, with an average first-innings score of 249. Sides batting first have won 10 and chasing sides 18.

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