New Zealand vs India 5th ODI prediction, players and playing 11
Prediction: India have the edge, 62% to 38%. New Zealand play India in the 5th ODI of the India tour of New Zealand 2026 on Sun 15 Nov at 3:00 pm NZDT (7:30 am IST), Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. India lead the ODI head to head 31–23. Captains: Mitchell Santner (New Zealand) and Shreyas Iyer (India).
Updated
New Zealand vs India prediction: who will win?
Prediction: India have the edge, 62% to 38%.
- India's predicted XI is stronger on recent ODI form: 292 expected fantasy points against 268 for New Zealand.
- India lead the ODI head to head 31–23. Full New Zealand vs India head to head →
- Last five matches: New Zealand LLWWW; India WLWWL
- At Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, chasing sides have won 7 of 13 ODIs and sides batting first 6.
The win chance compares both predicted XIs on their recent ODI form. Tested on 695 past ODI matches, sides we rated at about 60% or more won about two in three; treat any figure under 55% as a toss-up.
New Zealand vs India players and squads
New Zealand squad: Mitchell Santner (c), Michael Bracewell, Mark Chapman, Blair Tickner, Will Young, Jacob Duffy, Kristian Clarke, Nick Kelly, Lockie Ferguson, Mitchell Hay (wk), Finn Allen, Tim Seifert (wk), Matthew Fisher
India squad: Shreyas Iyer (c), Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Ishan Kishan (vc, wk), Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Naman Dhir, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Gurnoor Brar, Tilak Varma, Auqib Nabi, Kumar Kushagra (wk), Yash Thakur
Captains: Mitchell Santner (New Zealand) and Shreyas Iyer (India).
New Zealand predicted playing 11
| Player | Exp. pts | Last 5 games |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell SantnercaptainAR · 25+ ODIs | 31 | 1459463016 |
| Michael BracewellAR · 25+ ODIs | 30 | 1349283828 |
| Mark ChapmanAR · 25+ ODIs | 26 | 8586620 |
| Blair TicknerBOWL · 18 ODIs | 28 | 764106456 |
| Will YoungBAT · 25+ ODIs | 21 | 3814151929 |
| Jacob DuffyBOWL · 24 ODIs | 21 | 33111628 |
| Kristian ClarkeBOWL · 4 ODIs | 27 | 8433228 |
| Nick KellyBAT · 8 ODIs | 25 | 43444552 |
| Lockie FergusonBOWL · 25+ ODIs | 18 | 23222332 |
| Mitchell HayWK · 10 ODIs | 21 | 72161492 |
| Finn AllenBAT · 22 ODIs | 21 | 25135438 |
Rest of the squad (2)
| Tim SeifertWK · 4 ODIs | 26 | 33122330 |
| Matthew FisherBOWL · 3 ODIs | 19 | 3523 |
India predicted playing 11
| Player | Exp. pts | Last 5 games |
|---|---|---|
| Shreyas IyercaptainBAT · 25+ ODIs | 26 | 0442146 |
| Virat KohliBAT · 25+ ODIs | 39 | 3231005647 |
| Rohit SharmaBAT · 25+ ODIs | 37 | 62802610117 |
| Axar PatelAR · 25+ ODIs | 31 | 321901845 |
| Kuldeep YadavBOWL · 25+ ODIs | 23 | 122258238 |
| Ishan KishanWK · 25+ ODIs | 24 | 102502712 |
| Mohammed SirajBOWL · 25+ ODIs | 19 | 141232416 |
| Arshdeep SinghBOWL · 16 ODIs | 26 | 941162224 |
| Ruturaj GaikwadBAT · 12 ODIs | 23 | 39239283 |
| Naman DhirBAT · 3 ODIs | 23 | 44106 |
| Nitish Kumar ReddyAR · 6 ODIs | 20 | 9836177 |
Rest of the squad (5)
| Gurnoor BrarBOWL · 6 ODIs | 18 | 17162726 |
| Tilak VarmaAR · 5 ODIs | 18 | 236339 |
| Auqib NabiBOWL · 1 ODI | 17 | 0 |
| Kumar KushagraWK | 16 | — |
| Yash ThakurBOWL | 16 | — |
Predicted playing 11s are our estimate from each squad: once a side has played in this series, its last XI, otherwise the captain first, then recent ODI fantasy points and experience. They change when the teams are announced at the toss.
New Zealand vs India probable batting order and bowlers
Who opens, and who bowls in the powerplay, middle and death overs
New Zealand probable batting order
Will Young and Nick Kelly are likely to open for New Zealand, with Mark Chapman at No. 3.
- 1Will YoungNos. 2–3
- 2Nick KellyNos. 2–3
- 3Mark ChapmanNos. 3–4
- 4Finn Allen
- 5Michael BracewellNo. 6
- 6Mitchell SantnerNo. 7
- 7Mitchell HayNos. 6–8
- 8Kristian Clarke
- 9Blair Tickner
- 10Lockie Ferguson
- 11Jacob Duffy
New Zealand: who bowls when
Jacob Duffy is likely to take the new ball.
- Powerplay overs 1–10
- Jacob Duffy (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5); Blair Tickner (pace, most often overs 7 and 9)
- Middle overs 11–40
- Mitchell Santner (spin, most often overs 16, 20 and 22); Michael Bracewell (spin, most often overs 23, 29 and 31); Blair Tickner (pace, most often overs 18, 34 and 36)
- Death overs 41–50
- Kristian Clarke (pace, most often over 42); Jacob Duffy (pace, most often over 45)
India probable batting order
Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli are likely to open for India.
- 1Rohit Sharmaopens
- 2Virat KohliNo. 3
- 3Ishan Kishan
- 4Ruturaj GaikwadNo. 4
- 5Shreyas IyerNos. 4–5
- 6Axar PatelNos. 5–7
- 7Naman Dhir
- 8Nitish Kumar Reddy
- 9Arshdeep Singh
- 10Mohammed Siraj
- 11Kuldeep Yadav
India: who bowls when
Arshdeep Singh and Mohammed Siraj are likely to take the new ball.
- Powerplay overs 1–10
- Mohammed Siraj (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5); Arshdeep Singh (pace, most often overs 1, 3 and 5)
- Middle overs 11–40
- Kuldeep Yadav (spin, most often overs 15, 34 and 36); Axar Patel (spin, most often overs 14, 16 and 18); Naman Dhir (spin, most often over 26)
- Death overs 41–50
- Arshdeep Singh (pace, most often overs 45, 47 and 48); Kuldeep Yadav (spin, most often overs 41, 43 and 46)
From each player's last 10 ODIs, leaning on where they batted and bowled in their last game for this side. Tested on about 1,000 past matches, the batting slot was within one place of the actual order 85% of the time and both openers were right three times in four. Death bowling changes most from match to match.
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui pitch report
13 ODIs have been played at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, with an average first-innings score of 268. Sides batting first have won 6 and chasing sides 7. Captains who won the toss chose to field 7 times out of 13. Full Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui stats and records →
Suggested fantasy XI
Highest expected points from both probable XIs: 11 players, at most 7 from one side, 1–4 wicketkeepers, 3–6 batters, 1–4 all-rounders and 3–6 bowlers
Wicketkeepers · 1
- Ishan KishanI24 pts
Batters · 3
- Virat KohliCI39 pts
- Rohit SharmaVCI37 pts
- Shreyas IyerI26 pts
All-rounders · 4
- Axar PatelI31 pts
- Mitchell SantnerNZ31 pts
- Michael BracewellNZ30 pts
- Mark ChapmanNZ26 pts
Bowlers · 3
- Blair TicknerNZ28 pts
- Kristian ClarkeNZ27 pts
- Arshdeep SinghI26 pts
- Option 2: Nick Kelly in for Mark Chapman (381 expected points, against 382)
- Option 3: Kuldeep Yadav in for Mark Chapman (380 expected points, against 382)
Suggestions are statistical estimates from past matches, not guarantees. CricketViz is not affiliated with the ICC, either board or any fantasy sports app.
Captain and vice-captain picks
Who to make captain and vice-captain, and why
Close call: Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma are only 1.5 expected points apart, so either is a sound captain. Virat Kohli tops this XI more often in our simulations (23% against 16%). Captaining Rohit Sharma is a differential pick that fewer teams are likely to make.
- The captain earns double and the vice-captain one and a half times their points, so these two picks swing a fantasy team more than any other. Put your two highest expected scorers there.
- When expected points are close, prefer the player who tops the scoring more often (the simulated share and the record below), or pick the other one as a differential that fewer teams will have.
- All-rounders and top-order batters are steadier picks: they can score with the bat, the ball and in the field.
| Player | Exp. pts | Top scorer | Best C | Best VC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virat Kohli IC40 recent ODIs | 39 | 23% | 15%4/26 | 8%2/26 |
| Rohit Sharma IVC40 recent ODIs | 37 | 16% | 11%3/27 | 11%3/27 |
| Axar Patel I40 recent ODIs | 31 | 6% | 5%1/20 | 0%0/20 |
| Mitchell Santner NZ40 recent ODIs | 31 | 5% | 0%0/25 | 8%2/25 |
| Michael Bracewell NZ40 recent ODIs | 30 | 7% | 3%1/29 | 10%3/29 |
| Blair Tickner NZ18 recent ODIs | 28 | 7% | 20%1/5 | 40%2/5 |
- Exp. pts: from the player's recent ODIs (up to 25, shown under the name), newest counting most.
- Top scorer / top two: how often the player scores the most (or is in the top two) in this XI, over 4,000 simulated matches.
- Best C / VC: how often the player was the match's top (or second-top) fantasy scorer, across both teams, in their ODIs of the last three years; not how many people picked them. How we calculate this
Questions about this match
- Who will win New Zealand vs India?
- Our prediction: India have the edge, 62% to 38%. India lead the ODI head to head 31–23
- Who are the captains of New Zealand and India?
- Mitchell Santner (New Zealand) and Shreyas Iyer (India).
- When and where is New Zealand vs India?
- Sun 15 Nov 2026, 3:00 pm NZDT (7:30 am IST), at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui.
- What is the New Zealand predicted playing 11?
- Mitchell Santner (c), Michael Bracewell, Mark Chapman, Blair Tickner, Will Young, Jacob Duffy, Kristian Clarke, Nick Kelly, Lockie Ferguson, Mitchell Hay (wk), Finn Allen.
- What is the India predicted playing 11?
- Shreyas Iyer (c), Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Ishan Kishan (vc, wk), Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Naman Dhir, Nitish Kumar Reddy.
- Who will open the batting for New Zealand?
- Will Young and Nick Kelly are likely to open for New Zealand, with Mark Chapman at No. 3.
- Who will bowl at the death for New Zealand?
- Kristian Clarke (most often over 42) and Jacob Duffy (most often over 45) usually bowl at the death for New Zealand.
- Who will open the batting for India?
- Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli are likely to open for India.
- Who will bowl at the death for India?
- Arshdeep Singh (most often overs 45, 47 and 48) and Kuldeep Yadav (most often overs 41, 43 and 46) usually bowl at the death for India.
- What is the Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui pitch report?
- 13 ODIs have been played at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, with an average first-innings score of 268. Sides batting first have won 6 and chasing sides 7.