BBL 2026 · Match 31 · Sun 10 Jan, 7:15 pm AEDT (1:45 pm IST)

Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat match prediction and playing 11

Melbourne Renegades play Brisbane Heat in match 31 of the BBL on Sun 10 Jan at 7:15 pm AEDT (1:45 pm IST), Junction Oval, Melbourne. Melbourne Renegades and Brisbane Heat have met 23 times in the BBL: 15–8. Our fantasy pick for captain is Matt Renshaw, with Jack Wildermuth as vice-captain.

Suggested fantasy XI

Highest expected points from both probable XIs: 11 players, at most 7 from one side, 1–4 wicketkeepers, 3–6 batters, 1–4 all-rounders and 3–6 bowlers

Wicketkeepers · 1

Batters · 5

All-rounders · 2

Bowlers · 3

  • Option 2: Michael Bracewell in for Nathan McSweeney (269 expected points, against 270)
  • Option 3: Tim Robinson in for Will Sutherland (268 expected points, against 270)

Build your own: pick players and get the three best teams →

Suggestions are statistical estimates from past matches, not guarantees. CricketViz is not affiliated with the Big Bash League or any fantasy sports app.

Captain and vice-captain picks

Who to make captain and vice-captain, and why

CaptainMatt Renshaw BHExpected 25 points, so about 49 as captain (2×)Top scorer of this XI in 14% of 4,000 simulated matchesTop scorer of the match in 2 of 32 T20s (1 of 23 in the BBL)
Vice-captainJack Wildermuth BHExpected 23 points, so about 35 as vice-captain (1.5×)In the XI's top two in 16% of 4,000 simulated matchesSecond-top scorer of the match in 1 of 10 T20s (1 of 10 in the BBL)

Close call: Matt Renshaw and Jack Wildermuth are only 1.4 expected points apart, so either is a sound captain. Matt Renshaw tops this XI more often in our simulations (14% against 8%). Captaining Jack Wildermuth is a differential pick that fewer teams are likely to make.

  • The captain earns double and the vice-captain one and a half times their points, so these two picks swing a fantasy team more than any other. Put your two highest expected scorers there.
  • When expected points are close, prefer the player who tops the scoring more often (the simulated share and the record below), or pick the other one as a differential that fewer teams will have.
  • All-rounders and top-order batters are steadier picks: they can score with the bat, the ball and in the field.
Captaincy options from the suggested XI
PlayerExp. ptsTop scorerTop twoBest CBest VC
Matt Renshaw BHC25 recent T20s2514%27%6%2/326%2/32
Jack Wildermuth BHVC25 recent T20s238%16%10%1/1010%1/10
Usman Khawaja BH25 recent T20s2315%26%0%0/714%1/7
Michael Neser BH25 recent T20s228%18%0%0/170%0/17
Oliver Peake MR7 recent T20s217%17%0%0/714%1/7
Will Sutherland MR25 recent T20s217%17%12%4/330%0/33
  • Exp. pts: from the player's recent T20s (up to 25, shown under the name), newest counting most.
  • Top scorer / top two: how often the player scores the most (or is in the top two) in this XI, over 4,000 simulated matches.
  • Best C / VC: how often the player was the match's top (or second-top) fantasy scorer, across both teams, in their T20s of the last three years; not how many people picked them. How we calculate this

Melbourne Renegades predicted playing 11

PlayerExp. ptsLast 5 games
Will SutherlandcaptainAR · 25+ T20s21251211-329
Josh BrownBAT · 25+ T20s2000265820
Caleb JewellBAT · 25+ T20s18251524319
Jake Fraser-McGurkBAT · 25+ T20s18843361511
Oliver PeakeBAT · 7 T20s212814102910
Jonny BairstowoverseasWK · 25+ T20s2032012360
Ben ManentiBOWL · 25+ T20s2037642866
Sam ElliottBOWL · 6 T20s191364382
Jason BehrendorffBOWL · 25+ T20s140023-2-1
Michael BracewelloverseasAR · 25+ T20s19121166212
Brendan DoggettBOWL · 25+ T20s12-722-3166
Rest of the squad (4)
Tom RogersBOWL · 25+ T20s165-9102412
Callum StowBOWL · 6 T20s1517522222
Harry DixonBAT · 4 T20s1239318
Michael ArcherBOWL · 1 T20s12-3

Brisbane Heat predicted playing 11

PlayerExp. ptsLast 5 games
Matt RenshawBAT · 25+ T20s2597829244
Jack WildermuthAR · 25+ T20s23171373711
Usman KhawajaBAT · 25+ T20s2348-3131313
Michael NeserBOWL · 25+ T20s22401516-114
Nathan McSweeneyBAT · 25+ T20s20267241014
Max BryantBAT · 25+ T20s1714206042
Xavier BartlettBOWL · 25+ T20s161317864
Matthew KuhnemannBOWL · 25+ T20s1301213110
Tim RobinsonoverseasBAT · 25+ T20s1902631364
Hugh WeibgenBAT · 13 T20s15193221118
Spencer JohnsonBOWL · 25+ T20s1634-41466
Rest of the squad (4)
Bevon JacobsoverseasBAT · 24 T20s17577-32320
Tom CurranoverseasAR · 25+ T20s161906217
Lachlan HearneBAT · 2 T20s10-33
Callum VidlerRole unknown · no T20 record in our data12—

Predicted playing 11s are our estimate from each squad: once a side has played this season, its last XI, otherwise the captain first, then recent fantasy points, experience and last season's selections (with at most three overseas players). They change when the teams are announced at the toss.

How the points are counted

Playing in the XI+2
Each run+0.5
Each four / six (bonus on top of the runs)+0.5 / +1
50 / 100 runs (highest milestone only)+4 / +8
Out for a duck−2
Strike rate (5+ balls): under 70 / 130 and over−2 to −6 / +2 to +6
Each wicket (not run outs); bowled or lbw bonus+10; +2
3 / 4 / 5 wickets (bonuses add up)+6 / +8 / +10
Maiden over+4
Economy (1+ over): under 6 / 10 and over+2 to +6 / −2 to −6
Catch; 3+ catches bonus+4; +4 to +8
Stumping / direct-hit run out+6
Other run outs (thrower and catcher not recorded)+3 each
Captain / vice-captain2× / 1.5×

Our summary of a common T20 fantasy scoring system; apps differ, so check the values in the one you use. How we calculate expected points and picks →

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